|
Mesoscale Discussion 951 | |
<Â Previous MDÂ Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Next MDÂ > | |
Mesoscale Discussion 0951 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Areas affected...parts of west-central into northwest Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 251841Z - 252015Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Isolated supercells are expected to form over the next 1-2 hours along the dryline over west-central into parts of northwest TX. Very large hail and a couple tornadoes will be possible. DISCUSSION...Surface analysis shows an extremely moist air mass with 70s F dewpoints extending west toward the Snyder/Sweetwater area, along a developing dryline. Strong heating will aid further destabilization and CIN removal, as low-level convergence gradually increase near the dryline. Visible imagery already shows towers forming in this area, suggesting at least isolated supercells will soon form. Extreme instability as well as impressive mid to high level winds will strongly favor very large and damaging hail. Although the primary tornado risk is forecast north of this area later today, a couple tornadoes appear likely with the southern supercells given favorable storm mode, impressive updrafts, and gradually increasingly low-level SRH through early evening. ..Jewell/Bunting.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 31080128 31790105 32460094 33610079 33770040 33779985 33729938 33549907 33339884 33079877 32329888 31359926 30589978 30450069 30770109 31080128 |
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home |