Mesoscale Discussion 0211 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Areas affected...Gulf coastal areas of Mississippi...Alabama...and the western Florida Panhandle Concerning...Tornado Watch 45...46... Valid 152040Z - 152215Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45, 46 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat, including a few tornadoes, may develop along portions of the Gulf Coast if storms can continue developing along the shoreline. Tornado Watch expansions may be needed over the next few hours. DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells have developed along the LA/MS border and continue to track northeast with a tornado threat. However, storms continue to develop southward near Lake Pontchartrain, and as deep-layer ascent continues to increase over the Gulf Coast region, additional storms may develop along the shoreline. The MOB VAD has shown a slight but steady increase in hodograph size and curvature through the afternoon, with 0-3 km SRH approaching 600 m2/s2. Given rich Gulf moisture and associated buoyancy, the potential exists for tornadoes and damaging gusts if a sustained supercell structure can materialize. Should this scenario become apparent, ongoing Tornado Watches 45-46 may need to be expanded to the Gulf Coast. ..Squitieri.. 03/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX... LAT...LON 30408965 30878852 31178766 31248688 30888662 30468686 30268732 30208817 30228894 30198925 30408965
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