Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1149

   Mesoscale Discussion 1149
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0733 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024

   Areas affected...Western to northern OK and southeast KS

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 384...

   Valid 031233Z - 031330Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 384
   continues.

   SUMMARY...While the overall severe threat has diminished, potential
   still exists for an uptick in convective intensity later this
   morning.

   DISCUSSION...The short QLCS that was responsible for a swath of
   measured severe wind gusts from Garden City to Medicine Lodge
   weakened considerably across parts of north-central OK/south-central
   KS. The trailing remnants still persist across a part of northwest
   OK. The 12Z Amarillo sounding sampled substantially large MLCIN with
   a very stout elevated mixed layer characterized by lapse rates to
   around 9.5 C/km. With stratus evident downstream across the
   southeast TX Panhandle into southwest/south-central OK, it is
   possible that may continue to decay until late morning/midday. 

   Otherwise, isolated/marginal severe hail will be possible over
   southeast KS in the near-term ahead of the remnant MCV. An
   additional watch is unlikely for this activity.

   ..Grams.. 06/03/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...AMA...

   LAT...LON   37709613 37329539 36989543 36649573 36139649 35159758
               35029880 35199974 35469993 35850000 36239996 36519944
               36749845 36999796 37479714 37709613