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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1059












Mesoscale Discussion 1059
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1059
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0706 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

   Areas affected...Southern Plains

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 290006Z - 290200Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Marginally severe hail and gusty winds may accompany
   convection this evening.

   DISCUSSION...Convection that developed across the TX Panhandle late
   this afternoon has evolved into a squall line that is now
   propagating into the western parts of OK and northwest TX. A modest
   cold pool has formed in the wake of this activity which appears to
   be aided by a weak short-wave trough progressing through the ridge.
   With the LLJ expected to remain focused across the southern High
   Plains, and much weaker buoyancy currently observed over central OK,
   this activity is not expected to be particularly strong as it
   advances east. Some hail could approach severe levels, otherwise
   gusty winds are the primary concern.

   ..Darrow/Smith.. 05/29/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

   LAT...LON   33799990 36000028 35909922 33979901 33799990 


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