Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1044

   Mesoscale Discussion 1044
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1245 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

   Areas affected...portions of Maine

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 281745Z - 281915Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated strong thunderstorms producing gusty winds and
   hail to near 1 inch diameter are possible this afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...Isolated convection is deepening across parts of
   western Maine early this afternoon in an area of low-level
   convergence. Stronger heating in cloud breaks has occurred over this
   area, and dewpoints in the mid 60s F are supporting modest
   destabilization. Vertical shear suggest marginal supercells will be
   possible, though weak instability will largely limit severe
   potential. Nevertheless, cool temperatures aloft and elongated
   hodographs imply hail will be possible with the stronger cores, in
   addition to strong gusts around 45-60 mph. Isolated coverage and the
   marginal nature of the severe risk will preclude watch issuance.

   ..Leitman/Hart.. 05/28/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

   LAT...LON   46706859 46386805 45726808 45216826 44976847 44146967
               44297014 44497039 44887031 45706970 46676891 46706859