Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Remnants of Julia Forecast Discussion


000
WTPZ43 KNHC 102034
TCDEP3

Remnants Of Julia Discussion Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP182022
400 PM CDT Mon Oct 10 2022

Surface observations and satellite imagery indicate that the 
low-level circulation of Julia has opened up into a trough of low 
pressure extending from offshore of Guatemala to extreme 
southeastern Mexico.  Thus it is no longer a tropical cyclone, and 
this is the last advisory.  The wind speed is set to 25 kt 
based on earlier scatterometer data on the fringe of the 
system.  The main hazard with the remnants of Julia is heavy 
rainfall, which is likely to continue over portions of Central 
America today and southern Mexico through tomorrow.

The remnants of Julia could also contribute to a new tropical 
cyclone development offshore of southern Mexico later this week, so 
please see the latest eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook 
for further details.


Key Messages:

1. The threat of flash flooding continues across the Isthmus of 
Tehuantepec in Mexico through Tuesday.  Across Central America, the 
flash flooding risk is decreasing, but some areas of additional 
flooding remain possible. 


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  10/2100Z 15.0N  91.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...REMNANTS OF
 12H  11/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake



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