000 WTPZ31 KNHC 311440 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Remnants Of Agatha Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012022 1000 AM CDT Tue May 31 2022 ...REMNANTS OF AGATHA EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 94.9W ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM NNE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Agatha were located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 94.9 West. The remnants are moving toward the northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the remnants of Agatha will continue to move inland over southern Mexico today. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico through tonight. The following storm total rainfall amounts are currently expected: Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. Mexican states of Veracruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. SURF: Swells generated by Agatha will affect the coast of southern Mexico through today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on heavy rainfall and flooding, please see products issued by your national meteorological service. $$ Forecaster Brown/Bucci