Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Wind Speed Probabilities


996 
FONT12 KNHC 300845
PWSAT2

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022022               
0900 UTC THU JUN 30 2022                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                     

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

BLUEFIELDS     34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  33(37)   3(40)   X(40)   X(40)
BLUEFIELDS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
BLUEFIELDS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

SAN ANDRES     34  X   2( 2)  35(37)   2(39)   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)
SAN ANDRES     50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

LIMON          34  X   X( X)  10(10)  11(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
LIMON          50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

COLON          34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PT GALLINAS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     



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