000 WTNT22 KNHC 280238 TCMAT2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022022 0300 UTC TUE JUN 28 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF VENEZUELA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM PEDERNALES TO CUMANA...INCLUDING ISLAS DE MARGARITA...COCHE...AND CUBAGUA. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BONAIRE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO * GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM PEDERNALES TO CUMANA...INCLUDING ISLAS DE MARGARITA...COCHE...AND CUBAGUA * BONAIRE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COAST OF VENEZUELA...CURACAO...ARUBA...AND THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF COLOMBIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.7N 52.8W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.7N 52.8W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 52.0W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 9.3N 55.3W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 10.1N 59.7W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 10.8N 63.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 11.4N 67.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 11.8N 71.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 11.8N 75.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 40SE 0SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 11.5N 81.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 11.9N 87.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 8.7N 52.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 28/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG