Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Potential Tropical Cyclone Six Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-09-09 04:56:50



000
WTNT21 KNHC 090856
TCMAT1

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062024
0900 UTC MON SEP 09 2024

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  94.8W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 120SE 140SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 210SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  94.8W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  94.7W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.0N  95.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 100SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.1N  95.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.2N  95.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.8N  94.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 28.5N  93.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.7N  91.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 34.9N  90.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 37.5N  89.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N  94.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 09/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




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