Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Potential Tropical Cyclone Six Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-09-08 22:31:36



000
WTNT21 KNHC 090231
TCMAT1

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062024
0300 UTC MON SEP 09 2024

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  94.7W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE 140SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 210SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  94.7W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  94.7W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.5N  95.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.7N  95.7W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.0N  96.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.2N  95.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.0N  94.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.9N  93.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 34.5N  90.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 37.3N  89.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N  94.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 09/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




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