Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Potential Tropical Cyclone One Forecast Advisory


842 
WTNT21 KNHC 042031
TCMAT1

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012022
2100 UTC SAT JUN 04 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE EAST COAST
OF FLORIDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  79.8W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  79.8W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  80.5W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 29.2N  77.6W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 31.1N  74.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 32.8N  69.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 34.4N  64.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 35.3N  59.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 36.9N  54.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 40.0N  44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 44.5N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N  79.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 05/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





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