Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-09-23 10:58:25



000
WTNT24 KNHC 231458
TCMAT4

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092024
1500 UTC MON SEP 23 2024

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  82.0W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  82.0W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  81.8W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.6N  82.4W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.5N  83.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.6N  85.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 22.1N  86.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 190SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 24.2N  86.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...220NE 210SE 130SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 27.1N  85.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE 110SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 34.0N  83.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 38.5N  87.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N  82.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 23/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART




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