Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Forecast Advisory

988 
WTNT24 KNHC 240238
TCMAT4

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092024
0300 UTC TUE SEP 24 2024

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  82.4W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  82.4W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  82.1W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.1N  83.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.2N  84.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.6N  85.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.4N  85.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.2N  84.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 30.4N  83.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 220SE 140SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 37.0N  85.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N  82.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 24/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH