Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Potential Tropical Cyclone Four Public Advisory



000
WTNT34 KNHC 210235
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Four Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042022
1000 PM CDT Sat Aug 20 2022

...DISTURBANCE HAS MOVED INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND THE
CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT HAS ENDED...
...HEAVY RAINS STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.3N 97.9W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SW OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for the coast of
Texas.

The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for the coast of northeastern Mexico.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the disturbance was centered near
latitude 25.3 North, longitude 97.9 West. The system is moving
toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).  A north-northwestward 
motion is expected until the system dissipates on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast, and the disturbance is expected to dissipate 
on Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Four can be found in
the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO
header WTNT44 KNHC.

WIND: Locally gusty winds in squalls are possible over portions of
northeastern Mexico and southern Texas tonight.

RAINFALL:  The disturbance is expected to produce total rainfall
amounts of 1 to 3 inches, with isolated totals of 5 inches, along
the northeastern coast of Mexico across the state of Tamaulipas
today. These rains could produce isolated flash flooding across
coastal northeast Mexico.  Rainfall amounts of less than an inch are
expected farther to the north across far South Texas.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  For additional information on this system, 
please see statements issued by local National Weather Service 
offices in the United States and by the Meteorological Service of 
Mexico.

$$
Forecaster Beven



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