Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Potential Tropical Cyclone Four Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT24 KNHC 201431
TCMAT4

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042022
1500 UTC SAT AUG 20 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM BOCA DE CATAN NORTHWARD TO THE
MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
* THE LOWER TEXAS COAST FROM PORT MANSFIELD SOUTHWARD TO THE MOUTH
OF THE RIO GRANDE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  96.4W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  96.4W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  96.1W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.1N  97.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 27.0N  98.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N  96.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 20/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




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