000
FONT13 KNHC 152057
PWSAT3
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082024
2100 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
DANVILLE VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
RALEIGH NC 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 1 17(18) 4(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 5( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
CHERRY PT NC 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEW RIVER NC 34 5 7(12) X(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 7 8(15) X(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
SURF CITY NC 34 16 15(31) 1(32) X(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33)
WILMINGTON NC 34 16 15(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 40 18(58) X(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FLORENCE SC 34 7 36(43) 7(50) X(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 17(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
LITTLE RIVER 34 38 29(67) 2(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 45 28(73) 2(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 48 28(76) 2(78) X(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 27 27(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 7 15(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight Wind Speed Probabilities
15
Sep