Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight Wind Speed Probabilities

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FONT13 KNHC 161451
PWSAT3

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082024               
1500 UTC MON SEP 16 2024                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 32.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                     

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

FAYETTEVILLE   34  7   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEW RIVER NC   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SURF CITY NC   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

WILMINGTON NC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

BALD HEAD ISL  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

FLORENCE SC    34 12   6(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

COLUMBIA SC    34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LITTLE RIVER   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
LITTLE RIVER   50  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MYRTLE BEACH   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GEORGETOWN SC  34 55   2(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)

CHARLESTON SC  34  9   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER REINHART