Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-09-15 22:39:09



875 
WTNT23 KNHC 160239
TCMAT3

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082024
0300 UTC MON SEP 16 2024

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  77.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE  50SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE  90SE 120SW  70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  77.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  77.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 32.8N  78.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 33.6N  79.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...130NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.5N  80.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 35.5N  80.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.6N  81.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 36.5N  80.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N  77.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 16/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





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