Post-Tropical Cyclone Fabio Forecast Discussion

000
WTPZ41 KNHC 072033
TCDEP1

Post-Tropical Cyclone Fabio Discussion Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062024
200 PM PDT Wed Aug 07 2024

This afternoon's satellite presentation shows that Fabio has 
succumbed to the increasingly harsh surrounding environment.  Only a 
poorly defined surface circulation of low cloud elements is what 
remains of the tropical cyclone.  Therefore, Fabio no longer meets 
the definition of a tropical cyclone, and this will be the last NHC 
advisory.  The post-tropical cyclone's initial intensity is reduced 
to 35 kt, based on the TAFB and SAB satellite intensity estimates.  
Further weakening is forecast in the short term before merging with 
Emilia on Thursday.

Fabio's initial motion is estimated to be southwestward or
225/14 kt and this general motion is expected to continue through
tonight, while it moves around the western periphery of Emilia's
circulation and eventually merges with Emilia on Thursday, or
sooner.

For additional information on the post-tropical cyclone please see
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under
AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN03 KWBC, and on the web at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  07/2100Z 18.4N 120.2W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  08/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Roberts