Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Post-Tropical Cyclone Earl Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT21 KNHC 102038
TCMAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062022
2100 UTC SAT SEP 10 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.6N  52.6W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
50 KT.......180NE 180SE 110SW 180NW.
34 KT.......300NE 360SE 420SW 330NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 700SE 700SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.6N  52.6W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 43.3N  52.8W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 44.3N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 160NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 330SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 44.8N  51.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 270SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 45.0N  50.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 250SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 44.9N  49.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE 180SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 44.7N  47.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE 150SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 44.7N  44.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE 100SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 45.5N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 47.5N  36.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.6N  52.6W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE 
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




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