Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Sam Forecast Advisory


464 
WTNT23 KNHC 032034
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182021
2100 UTC SUN OCT 03 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.6N  52.8W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 200SW 210NW.
12 FT SEAS..320NE 340SE 400SW 320NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.6N  52.8W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.0N  53.8W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 40.3N  49.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 200SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 44.2N  44.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 230SE 230SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 49.0N  40.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...220NE 300SE 300SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 50.8N  39.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE  90SW  70NW.
34 KT...290NE 360SE 380SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 51.5N  35.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 350SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 53.2N  31.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...250NE 260SE 200SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 59.4N  27.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 61.2N  27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.6N  52.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO





Source link