Pacific Hurricane Feed

Hurricane Rick Wind Speed Probabilities



000
FOPZ12 KNHC 250838
PWSEP2

HURRICANE RICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172021               
0900 UTC MON OCT 25 2021                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90   
KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.                                           

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

L CARDENAS     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
L CARDENAS     50 91   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
L CARDENAS     64 55   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)

ZIHUATANEJO    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ZIHUATANEJO    50 97   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
ZIHUATANEJO    64 24   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    



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