000 WTPZ32 KNHC 232338 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Hurricane Rick Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172021 700 PM CDT Sat Oct 23 2021 ...RICK FORECAST TO APPROACH THE COAST OF MEXICO ON SUNDAY... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.3N 102.1W ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Tecpan de Galeana to Acapulco * West of Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Rick was located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 102.1 West. Rick is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (8 km/h). A north-northwestward to northward motion is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Rick will approach the coast of Mexico on Sunday and Sunday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. While Rick has strengthened little during the past few hours, it is expected to resume strengthening tonight and become a major hurricane on Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area by late Sunday, with tropical storm conditions expected by Sunday afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning areas by Sunday afternoon. STORM SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of where the center of Rick makes landfall in southwestern Mexico. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Rick is expected to produce 5 to 10 inches of rain with isolated storm total amounts of 20 inches across coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacan from tonight through Tuesday. This heavy rainfall will likely produce flash flooding and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Rick will affect portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico through early next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven