Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Rick Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ22 KNHC 250246
TCMEP2

HURRICANE RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172021
0300 UTC MON OCT 25 2021

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO PUNTA SAN TELMO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF TECPAN DE GALEANA TO ACAPULCO
* WEST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO MANZANILLO

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 101.6W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 101.6W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 101.6W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.7N 101.9W...NEAR MEXICAN COAST
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.7N 102.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.6N 102.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 101.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 25/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




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