Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Pamela Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ21 KNHC 120833
TCMEP1

HURRICANE PAMELA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162021
0900 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA TO ESCUINAPA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA TO ALTATA
* SOUTH OF ESCUINAPA TO CABO CORRIENTES
* ISLA MARIAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LOS BARILLES TO CABO SAN LUCAS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 108.9W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 108.9W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 108.9W

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 20.5N 108.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 22.4N 107.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 25.1N 105.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 28.4N 101.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 108.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 12/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




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