Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-10-10 04:41:51



000
WTNT23 KNHC 100841
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  49.8W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  25SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE  90SE 135SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  49.8W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N  49.6W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.6N  50.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.9N  50.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.0N  49.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.5N  47.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 32.0N  43.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  50SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 34.2N  38.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  70SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 36.5N  28.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N  49.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI




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