149 WTPZ22 KNHC 060247 TCMEP2 HURRICANE KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122022 0300 UTC TUE SEP 06 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH NORTHWARD FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LORETO SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS * CABO SAN LUCAS NORTHWARD TO PUNTA ABREOJOS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS NORTH OF THE WATCH AREA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KAY AS HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 108.1W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......150NE 130SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 108.1W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 107.7W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.1N 109.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.3N 111.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.9N 112.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.7N 113.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...210NE 200SE 170SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 23.7N 114.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 190SE 160SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 25.6N 115.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 140SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 28.5N 116.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 30.0N 120.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 108.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 06/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART