Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Hurricane Isaac Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-09-29 04:38:48



000
WTNT25 KNHC 290838
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102024
0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.6N  36.5W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 130SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 450SE 330SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.6N  36.5W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.3N  37.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 43.5N  34.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 44.5N  31.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 46.0N  28.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 47.8N  26.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE  70SE  30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 49.9N  25.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE  70SE  20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 52.0N  24.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE  90SE   0SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 56.4N  20.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 60.3N  16.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.6N  36.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




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