Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Hurricane Isaac Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-09-28 10:30:54



000
WTNT25 KNHC 281430
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102024
1500 UTC SAT SEP 28 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N  39.7W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  70SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT.......170NE 130SE 130SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 330SE 330SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N  39.7W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.7N  40.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 41.4N  37.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  70SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 42.9N  36.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 130SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 44.0N  33.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 35NE  50SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 45.4N  31.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 47.1N  29.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  75SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 49.6N  28.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 53.5N  28.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  40SW  70NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 56.6N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.2N  39.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KONARIK/CANGIALOSI




Source link