Hurricane Isaac Forecast Advisory

000
WTNT25 KNHC 271432
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102024
1500 UTC FRI SEP 27 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N  46.8W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 150SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N  46.8W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.1N  47.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 38.1N  44.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 39.4N  40.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 41.0N  38.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  55SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 42.4N  36.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  55SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 43.7N  35.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  55SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 110SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 44.8N  33.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE  35SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 48.0N  29.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...190NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 52.1N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...190NE 180SE  80SW   0NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.4N  46.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI