Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Howard Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ24 KNHC 082039
TCMEP4

HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092022
2100 UTC MON AUG 08 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 114.4W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  45SE  45SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 114.4W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 113.9W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.5N 115.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.6N 117.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.4N 119.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  45SE  45SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.0N 120.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.5N 122.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 24.7N 123.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 24.9N 125.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 114.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/PAPIN/PASCH




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