Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Hurricane Helene Wind Speed Probabilities

Published Date and Time: 2024-09-26 04:52:22



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FONT14 KNHC 260852
PWSAT4

HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092024               
0900 UTC THU SEP 26 2024                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                                         

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

FLORENCE SC    34  X   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

COLUMBIA SC    34  X  10(10)   6(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

LITTLE RIVER   34  X   6( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   9( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CHARLESTON SC  34  X  25(25)   4(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X  41(41)   2(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)

ATLANTA GA     34  X  21(21)  52(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)

AUGUSTA GA     34  X  38(38)  16(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)

SAVANNAH GA    34  X  47(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)

KINGS BAY GA   34  2  64(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
KINGS BAY GA   50  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

WAYCROSS GA    34  1  91(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
WAYCROSS GA    50  X  11(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
WAYCROSS GA    64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

MAYPORT NS FL  34  5  59(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
MAYPORT NS FL  50  X   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

JACKSONVILLE   34  4  69(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)

GAINESVILLE FL 34 15  79(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
GAINESVILLE FL 50  X   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
GAINESVILLE FL 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

DAYTONA BEACH  34  7  40(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)

THE VILLAGES   34 30  56(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)

ORLANDO FL     34 20  36(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)

COCOA BEACH FL 34 16  26(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)

PATRICK AFB    34 16  26(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)

FT PIERCE FL   34 15  18(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)

W PALM BEACH   34 13  11(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

FT LAUDERDALE  34 13   6(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

MIAMI FL       34  7   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

HOMESTEAD ARB  34  8   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

MARATHON FL    34 24   3(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

KEY WEST FL    34 46   2(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)

NAPLES FL      34 62   4(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)

FT MYERS FL    34 77   2(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)

VENICE FL      34 79   5(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
VENICE FL      50  5   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

TAMPA FL       34 71  16(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
TAMPA FL       50  3   8(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
TAMPA FL       64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

CEDAR KEY FL   34 56  40(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
CEDAR KEY FL   50  1  37(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
CEDAR KEY FL   64  X   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

TALLAHASSEE FL 34  7  92(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50  X  78(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64  X  26(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

ST MARKS FL    34 12  88(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ST MARKS FL    50  X  84(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
ST MARKS FL    64  X  39(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)

APALACHICOLA   34 39  57(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
APALACHICOLA   50  2  76(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
APALACHICOLA   64  X  36(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)

GFMX 290N 850W 34 69  29(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
GFMX 290N 850W 50  5  84(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
GFMX 290N 850W 64  X  55(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)

PANAMA CITY FL 34 20  58(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
PANAMA CITY FL 50  X  31(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
PANAMA CITY FL 64  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

DESTIN EXEC AP 34  4  20(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

ALBANY GA      34  2  93(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
ALBANY GA      50  X  53(53)   2(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
ALBANY GA      64  X   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

COLUMBUS GA    34  X  54(54)  13(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
COLUMBUS GA    50  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

MACON GA       34  X  78(78)  15(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
MACON GA       50  X   7( 7)  20(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

DOTHAN AL      34  4  62(66)   1(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
DOTHAN AL      50  X   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

BIRMINGHAM AL  34  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   9( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

WHITING FLD FL 34  3   6( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

PENSACOLA FL   34  3   5( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

GFMX 290N 870W 34 20  14(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
GFMX 290N 870W 50  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MOBILE AL      34  2   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GULFPORT MS    34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

STENNIS MS     34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BURAS LA       34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

GFMX 280N 890W 34  5   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

CP SAN ANTONIO 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

HAVANA         34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

ISLE OF PINES  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    



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