Hurricane Gilma Wind Speed Probabilities

000
FOPZ12 KNHC 261454
PWSEP2

HURRICANE GILMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024               
1500 UTC MON AUG 26 2024                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 136.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.                                        

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

15N 140W       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 140W       34  1  26(27)   8(35)   X(35)   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)
20N 140W       50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  29(33)  18(51)   1(52)   X(52)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   X(14)   X(14)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   9(17)   X(17)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   1(13)

20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HAGEN/PASCH