Hurricane Gilma Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 222034
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024
2100 UTC THU AUG 22 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 125.0W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 125.0W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 124.7W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.4N 126.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.7N 127.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.1N 129.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.5N 130.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.7N 132.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.9N 134.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 19.5N 138.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 20.0N 143.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 125.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN