Hurricane Gilma Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 221451
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC THU AUG 22 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 124.5W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT.......115NE 110SE 110SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 124.5W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 124.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.1N 125.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  95SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.5N 126.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.8N 128.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  75SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.1N 129.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.3N 131.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.4N 133.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.8N 137.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 19.1N 141.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 124.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER GALLINA