Hurricane Gilma Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 270832
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024
0900 UTC TUE AUG 27 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 139.2W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 139.2W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 138.7W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.6N 140.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   5SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.8N 143.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.2N 145.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.8N 147.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.2N 150.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  10SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.7N 152.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 21.8N 156.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 139.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY