Hurricane Gilma Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 270242
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024
0300 UTC TUE AUG 27 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 138.3W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 138.3W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 137.8W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.6N 140.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.8N 142.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.1N 144.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.6N 146.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.1N 148.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.5N 151.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 21.7N 155.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 138.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN