Hurricane Gilma Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 252040
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024
2100 UTC SUN AUG 25 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 134.3W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 134.3W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 133.9W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.1N 135.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.3N 137.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.5N 139.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.7N 140.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.0N 142.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.4N 144.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 20.0N 147.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.6N 152.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 134.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/PASCH