Hurricane Gilma Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 251444
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024
1500 UTC SUN AUG 25 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 133.5W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 133.5W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 133.1W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.1N 134.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.3N 136.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.5N 138.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.7N 140.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.9N 142.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.2N 143.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.0N 147.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 20.6N 151.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 133.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/PASCH