Hurricane Gilma Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 240832
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024
0900 UTC SAT AUG 24 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 129.3W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 129.3W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 128.9W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.8N 130.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.1N 132.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.3N 134.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.5N 135.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.7N 137.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.9N 139.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 19.5N 144.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.3N 149.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 129.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI