Hurricane Gilma Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 240231
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024
0300 UTC SAT AUG 24 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 128.4W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 128.4W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 128.0W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.7N 129.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.0N 131.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.2N 133.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.4N 135.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.6N 137.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.9N 139.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 19.4N 143.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 20.3N 148.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 128.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY