Hurricane Gilma Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 231433
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024
1500 UTC FRI AUG 23 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 126.8W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 126.8W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 126.4W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.6N 128.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.0N 129.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.3N 131.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.6N 133.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.9N 134.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.2N 137.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 19.9N 141.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.6N 147.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 126.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN