Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Frank Wind Speed Probabilities


330 
FOPZ12 KNHC 300849
PWSEP2

HURRICANE FRANK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072022               
0900 UTC SAT JUL 30 2022                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                                         

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

ISLA CLARION   34 10   3(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

15N 115W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

20N 115W       34  2   4( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

15N 120W       34  2   2( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

20N 120W       34  2  11(13)  70(83)  12(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
20N 120W       50  X   1( 1)  46(47)  27(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
20N 120W       64  X   X( X)  19(19)  23(42)   1(43)   X(43)   X(43)

25N 120W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)   X(10)   X(10)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   7(12)   1(13)   X(13)

25N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   9(24)   X(24)
25N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)

25N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    



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