Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Hurricane Francine Wind Speed Probabilities

Published Date and Time: 2024-09-11 16:57:03



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FONT11 KNHC 112056
PWSAT1

HURRICANE FRANCINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062024               
2100 UTC WED SEP 11 2024                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.                                        

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

MOBILE AL      34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

GULFPORT MS    34 36   1(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)

STENNIS MS     34 79   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
STENNIS MS     50  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BURAS LA       34 44   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)

JACKSON MS     34  4  35(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 25   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HOUMA LA       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HOUMA LA       50 82   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
HOUMA LA       64 21   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)

GFMX 280N 910W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

BATON ROUGE LA 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BATON ROUGE LA 50 15   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
BATON ROUGE LA 64  9   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

MORGAN CITY LA 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MORGAN CITY LA 50 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
MORGAN CITY LA 64 81   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)

LAFAYETTE LA   34 74   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)

NEW IBERIA LA  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NEW IBERIA LA  50 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
NEW IBERIA LA  64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    



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