Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Hurricane Francine Wind Speed Probabilities

Published Date and Time: 2024-09-11 04:54:50



000
FONT11 KNHC 110854
PWSAT1

HURRICANE FRANCINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062024               
0900 UTC WED SEP 11 2024                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                                         

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

GFMX 290N 870W 34  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MOBILE AL      34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

GULFPORT MS    34  1  14(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

STENNIS MS     34  1  29(30)   2(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
STENNIS MS     50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BURAS LA       34  2  19(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)

GFMX 280N 890W 34  3   5( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

JACKSON MS     34  1   4( 5)  13(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34  2  65(67)   1(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  X  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

HOUMA LA       34 11  74(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
HOUMA LA       50  X  26(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
HOUMA LA       64  X   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GFMX 280N 910W 34 82   4(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 12   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
GFMX 280N 910W 64  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BATON ROUGE LA 34  3  77(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  X  15(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
BATON ROUGE LA 64  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MORGAN CITY LA 34 22  74(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
MORGAN CITY LA 50  2  45(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
MORGAN CITY LA 64  1  14(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

LAFAYETTE LA   34  8  60(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
LAFAYETTE LA   50  X  13(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
LAFAYETTE LA   64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

NEW IBERIA LA  34 19  64(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  1  26(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
NEW IBERIA LA  64  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

GFMX 280N 930W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 280N 930W 50 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 280N 930W 64 88   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)

LAKE CHARLES   34  3   5( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

CAMERON LA     34 25   9(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
CAMERON LA     50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GALVESTON TX   34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GFMX 280N 950W 34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER REINHART                                                 



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