Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Fiona Wind Speed Probabilities


000
FONT12 KNHC 191458
PWSAT2

HURRICANE FIONA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022               
1500 UTC MON SEP 19 2022                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FIONA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.                                         

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  29(29)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  40(40)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  30(30)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  31(31)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  53(53)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  28(28)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
HALIFAX NS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
YARMOUTH NS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  69(71)   9(80)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  42(42)   8(50)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)   5(29)

GREAT EXUMA    34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)

SAN SALVADOR   34  X   4( 4)   6(10)   8(18)   4(22)   1(23)   X(23)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MAYAGUANA      34  2  15(17)  25(42)   7(49)   2(51)   X(51)   X(51)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GRAND TURK     34 22  69(91)   3(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
GRAND TURK     50  2  53(55)  11(66)   2(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
GRAND TURK     64  X  30(30)  13(43)   1(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)

GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

LES CAYES      34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

CAPE BEATA     34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

PUERTO PLATA   34 72   9(81)   1(82)   1(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
PUERTO PLATA   50  6   6(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
PUERTO PLATA   64  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SANTO DOMINGO  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

PONCE PR       34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

AGUADILLA PR   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

SAN JUAN PR    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

VIEQUES PR     34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    



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