Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Fiona Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT22 KNHC 191458
TCMAT2

HURRICANE FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022
1500 UTC MON SEP 19 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO CAUCEDO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO
* TURKS AND CAICOS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO
WESTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO
WESTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG
CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABO CAUCEDO TO
BARAHONA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  69.2W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  69.2W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  68.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.1N  69.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 21.5N  70.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 22.9N  71.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 24.2N  71.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 26.0N  70.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 28.2N  69.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 33.3N  65.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 45.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N  69.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 19/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




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