Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Fiona Forecast Advisory


231 
WTNT22 KNHC 221450
TCMAT2

HURRICANE FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022
1500 UTC THU SEP 22 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR NOVA 
SCOTIA FROM HUBBARDS TO BRULE, PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND, ISLE-DE-LA- 
MADELEINE, AND THE COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND FROM PARSON’S POND TO 
PORT-AUX-BASQUES.

THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS A ISSUED TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM 
ST. ANDREWS NEW BRUNSWICK TO WEST OF HUBBARDS NOVA SCOTIA, AND 
FROM WEST OF BRULE NOVA SCOTIA TO CAP MADELEINE QUEBEC. A 
TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR ANTICOSTI ISLAND AND 
FROM JOHAN BEETZ BAY QUEBEC TO NORTH OF PARSON'S POND 
NEWFOUNDLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM WEST 
BAY LABRADOR TO HARE BAY NEWFOUNDLAND AND FROM ST. LAWRENCE TO 
EAST OF PORT-AUX-BASQUES NEWFOUNDLAND. 

NOTE THAT THESE WATCHES DO NOT INCLUDE THE AVALON AND BONAVISTA 
PENINSULAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM HUBBARDS TO BRULE
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* ISLE-DE-LA-MADELEINE
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM PARSON’S POND TO PORT-AUX-BASQUES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. ANDREWS NEW BRUNSWICK TO WEST OF HUBBARDS NOVA SCOTIA
* WEST OF BRULE NOVA SCOTIA TO CAP MADELEINE QUEBEC
* ANTICOSTI ISLAND
* JOHAN BEETZ BAY QUEBEC TO NORTH OF PARSON'S POND NEWFOUNDLAND
* WEST BAY LABRADOR TO HARE BAY NEWFOUNDLAND
* ST. LAWRENCE TO EAST OF PORT-AUX-BASQUES NEWFOUNDLAND

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN ATLANTIC CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  70.2W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 55NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 270SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  70.2W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  70.6W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 30.7N  68.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 34.6N  65.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW 100NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 210SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 40.6N  61.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 120SE  80SW  70NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 330SE 300SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 45.5N  61.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 120SE  80SW  70NW.
50 KT...140NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 330SE 300SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 48.1N  60.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 260SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 51.8N  59.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 58.9N  58.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 64.2N  57.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.6N  70.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 22/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





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