Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Estelle Public Advisory


000
WTPZ31 KNHC 190233
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Estelle Advisory Number  15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062022
900 PM MDT Mon Jul 18 2022

...ESTELLE BARELY A HURRICANE...
...NOW EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 113.6W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM W OF SOCORRO ISLAND
ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Estelle was
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 113.6 West. Estelle is
moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue for the next several days. 

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast over the next day 
or two followed by more pronounced weakening, and Estelle is 
expected to become a post-tropical cyclone towards the end of 
the week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
(185 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Estelle are affecting portions of the
coast of southwestern Mexico, west-central Mexico, and the southern
Baja California peninsula. These swells are likely to continue for
the next day or so and could cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Papin



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